BTCCourant
Analysis

Bitcoin (BTC) Price At Risk Of More Downsides Below $11,200

Bitcoin Price (BTC) Remains Vulnerable, Risk of More Losses

  • Bitcoin price is currently under pressure below the $11,600 resistance against the US Dollar.
  • The price could slide sharply if there is a break below the $11,200 support area.
  • There is a major bearish trend line forming with resistance near $11,700 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken).
  • The price might correct higher, but upsides are likely to be capped near $11,600 and $11,700.

Bitcoin price is trading in a bearish zone below $11,800 against the US Dollar. BTC price remains at a risk of more losses below the $11,200 support level in the near term.

Bitcoin Price Analysis

This past week, bitcoin price topped near the $12,325 level against the US Dollar. The BTC/USD pair started a strong downside correction and traded below the $11,500 support. There was a close below the $11,800 pivot level and the 100 hourly simple moving average. Finally, the price tested the $11,200 support area and a swing low was formed at $11,096.

At the moment, the price is currently losses above the $11,400 level. Moreover, there was a break above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $11,975 high to $11,096 low. However, the upward move is facing hurdles near the $11,500 and $11,550 levels. Additionally, the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $11,975 high to $11,096 low is acting as a resistance.

On the upside, there are a few important hurdles forming near $11,600 and $11,700. More importantly, there is a major bearish trend line forming with resistance near $11,700 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. Below the trend line, the 100 hourly SMA is near the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $11,975 high to $11,096 low.

Therefore, the price is likely to face a strong selling interest near between the $11,600 and $11,700 levels. The main resistance is near the $11,800 level, above which the price could turn positive in the near term. On the downside, an immediate support is near the $11,300 level. However, the main support is near the $11,200 level, below which the price might slide sharply below $11,000. In the mentioned case, BTC price might test the $10,500 level (as discussed in the weekly forecast).

Looking at the chart, bitcoin price is trading in a bearish zone below the $11,600 and $11,700 resistance levels. Therefore, there is a risk of more downsides below the $11,200 and $11,000 supports.

Technical indicators:

Hourly MACD – The MACD is gaining traction in the bearish zone.

Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is currently sliding towards the 40 level.

Major Support Levels – $11,200 followed by $11,000.

Major Resistance Levels – $11,550, $11,600 and $11,700.

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